The steady growth of the automotive industry can be sustained investment

Contrary to the generally cautious view of the market, the fundamentals of the auto industry in 2011 are still optimistic and there are still plenty of investment opportunities. As China is still in the period of popularization of automobile consumption, and the capacity utilization rate of the industry will remain high in 2011, the possibility of the growth of the automotive segment in 2011 is lower than expected, and the likelihood of better than expected is very high.

The authority predicts that in the next 5-10 years, the automotive industry will enter a period of stable growth of 10% to 15%. A few automotive and parts companies with continuous competitive advantages will have continuous investment opportunities, and most of them are at a disadvantage. The possibility of creating new highs in history is small, and systemic opportunities that rise up and fall down will be hard to reproduce.

At present, the market has a more adequate response to the risk factors of auto stocks, and the valuation of auto stocks is relatively safe. 2011 is the year of adjustment for the auto industry. In 2012, it will resume normal growth of 10%-15%. The growth of the auto industry is still worth looking forward to.

The year 2011 is the beginning of China's "Twelfth Five-Year Plan". China's national economy will still maintain a good momentum of development. The country's policy of expanding domestic demand will remain unchanged, and the rigid demand for automobiles will be very strong. With the gradual accumulation of some favorable factors, like the first quarter, not only can structural opportunities be grasped from the bottom up, but at the same time when the current valuation of the industry is still low, once the industry’s sales or performance are better than expected, the car The overall rise of the sector stage is expected to show again. Looking at the auto stock market in the second half of the year, investors can be cautiously optimistic about the passenger car industry and the component sub-sector.

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