From a number of social monitoring agencies, it has been learned that the restricted production message continues to ferment, and that the international oil price is even more positive around the time, and the rate of change in crude oil continues to increase. Judging from the current trend, on October 19th, the domestic retail price limit for refined oil products will usher in the largest increase during the year, with an expected margin of more than 280 yuan/ton, and the continuous rise of international crude oil has also contributed to the surge in the domestic wholesale price of refined oil products. Quotes.
According to the Economic Information Daily reported on October 17, the long-term production agreement was unexpectedly reached at the informal meeting of the OPEC held in Algeria on September 28. Russia also expressed its willingness to participate in this agreement, leading to a surge in international oil prices. WIT and Brent oil prices rose to 51.35 US dollars / barrel and 53.14 US dollars / barrel. The international oil price rose by 1.1% during the week and showed a continuous upward trend for four weeks.
Driven by this, as of October 14th, Zhongyu Information estimated the crude oil change rate was 10.51%, Zhongyu crude oil was valued at 50.076 US$/barrel, which was 4.769 US dollars/barrel higher than the benchmark price, and Asian crude oil was valued at 49.617 US$/barrel, which was higher than the benchmark price. Up 4.304 US dollars / barrel, integrated after the last round of abandoning the range, temporarily expected at 20:00 on the 20th, refined oil retail price increases by 285 yuan / ton.
The record change rate of crude oil in Zhuochuang Information Monitoring was 10.78%, the corresponding price limit for refined oil products was increased by 335 yuan/ton, equivalent to 92#/93# gasoline price increase, 0.26 yuan/liter, and 0# diesel oil was increased by 0.28 yuan/ton. Rise. "The recent international crude oil trend is stable and the overall average price has been pushed up. According to the current trend analysis, the maximum gasoline and diesel retail price increase will be refreshed during October 19." Inquiry) Wen Ping said.
Affected by strong price increases, domestic wholesale oil prices have continued to rise recently. Taking Chongqing as an example, the transaction price of its diesel fuel was substantially increased by 650 yuan/ton on the previous Tuesday, and the lowest price from the southwest region directly rose to the highest in the region. The continuous rise in the price of refined oil has led to a significant reduction in gas station sales profits. According to Zhuo Chuang, the profit of domestic sales of state-operated refinery diesel at gas stations has been reduced to 490 yuan/ton, which is a substantial reduction of 600 yuan/ton from one month ago; the profit of gasoline has also been reduced from 1800 yuan/ton to 1400 yuan/year. Ton.
"Last period, crude oil will continue to show a trend of rising prices in the near future. The bullish market is expected to continue to ferment, and the domestic wholesale price of refined oil will continue to push up. Of course, the diesel price of the main sales units in some regions has risen to Limit prices, and therefore the gains will slow down. In this case, before the implementation of refined oil products, the domestic gas station sales profit will continue to shrink." Zhuo Chuang, analyst Meng Peng said.
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